25 years of SAE modeling: Still the best approach for sales and load forecasting

The Statistical Adjusted End-Use (SAE) model has been the foundation of our electric and gas forecasting approach for 25 years. Utilities across North America, and most recently Asia, use the SAE model to forecast residential, commercial and industrial sales. This Brown Bag presents a refresher on the SAE modeling approach, including why the approach works, model framework, model inputs, and calibration methods. We will also review the latest Energy Information Administration (EIA) Annual Energy Outlook (AEO) end-use intensity projections and the impacts this has on long-term residential and commercial sales and energy forecasts when incorporated into the SAE model.